Alice is about to pick daisies when a white rabbit approaches her, but this rabbit is not like any other rabbit she has seen. Her curious nature forces her to follow the rabbit for a wonderful adventure.
Evergreens
Statistical Reference Document
Excerpt: Proposals are made for more comprehensive historic and current analysis of the periodic, systematic, and event-conditioned components in economic time series. The effects of unusual events U are distinguished from regular seasonality sand other periodic ...
Excerpt: This paper advances simple theoretical arguments in favor of selecting and estimating a different linear forecasting ?model? for each prediction period (lead) m for which a forecast is desired. For these arguments, it is assumed that the series being forecast is covariance stationary and is not perfectly modeled by the one-period-ahead forecasting model which is fit to it. Two examples are given using well-known series which illustrate one possible implementatio...
Excerpt: Methods are developed for estimating trends in time series subject to level shifts. The approach is based on specifying stochastic models for breaks as part of the model structure, using heavy-tailed densities to allow for a positive probability of such a ...
Excerpt: When good King Arthur was reigning in England, there lived in the Duchy of Cornwall a countryman who had an only son called Jack.
Excerpt: This paper reports the results of research and analysis undertaken by Census Bureau staff. It has undergone a Census Bureau review more limited in scope than that given to official Census Bureau publications. This paper is released to inform interested ...
Introduction: Record linkage is the science of finding matches or duplicates within or across files. Matches are typically delineated using name, address, and date-of-birth information. Other identifiers such as income, education, and credit information might be used. With a pair of records, identifiers might not correspond exactly. For instance, income in one record might be compared to mortgage payment size using a crude regression function. In the computer science lit...
Excerpt: Record linkage is the science of finding matches or duplicates within or across files. Matches are typically delineated using name, address, and date-of-birth information. Other identifiers such as income, education, and credit information might be used. With a pair of records, identifiers might not correspond exactly. For instance, income in one record might be compared to mortgage payment size using a crude regression function. In the computer science literatu...
Excerpt: The U.S. government, thoutgh the Departments of Education, Health and Human Services, Housing and Urban Development, and Labor, allocates approximately $30 billion in funds annually to programs to aid economically disadvantaged areas of the United States.
Excerpt: A MATRIX APPROACH TO LIKELIHOOD EVALUATION AND SIGNAL EXTRACTION FOR ARIMA COMPONENT TIME SERIES MODELS ...
Introduction: Graphical representation of Bayes Nets and other probabilistic relationships date to Lauritzen and Spiegelhalter (1988). They are used extensively in machine learning. For instance, Figure 2 in Getoor et al. (2001) (reprinted below) demonstrates an efficient representation of Census data. 951 parameters are able to represent a potentially large number of cells in a contingency table (7 billion). Bayes Net software will quickly determine dependency relations...
3899447 Archives; Bibliography: leaf 19
Includes bibliographical references (leaf 15)