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Measuring the Deterrent Effect of Enforcement Operations on Drug Smuggling, 1991-1999

By Layne, Mary

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Book Id: WPLBN0000183071
Format Type: PDF eBook
File Size: 4.8 MB
Reproduction Date: 2008
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Title: Measuring the Deterrent Effect of Enforcement Operations on Drug Smuggling, 1991-1999  
Author: Layne, Mary
Volume:
Language: English
Subject: Government publications, Legislation., Government Printing Office (U.S.)
Collections: Government Library Collection
Historic
Publication Date:
Publisher: Government Printing Office

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Layne, M. (n.d.). Measuring the Deterrent Effect of Enforcement Operations on Drug Smuggling, 1991-1999. Retrieved from http://hawaiilibrary.net/


Excerpt
Excerpt: Acknowledgements: The authors and staff of Abt Associates, Inc., conducted and reported this joint research for ONDCP, U.S. Customs Service and U.S. Coast Guard, under contract 282-98-0006, Task order Number 3. Joint project directors for this effort included Commander John Manning, USN and Dr. Michael Cala from ONDCP, Senior Special Agent Fred Stacey of the U.S. Customs Service, and Commander Brian Kelley, USCG.

Table of Contents
Contents Acknowledgements ..................................................................................................................................vii Disclaimer .......................................................................................................................................vii Public Domain Notice ......................................................................................................................vii Executive Summary...................................................................................................................................1 Summary of Results ...........................................................................................................................1 Interviews With High-Level Drug Smugglers .........................................................................1 Summary of Statistical Analysis of Counterdrug Enforcement Operations.............................2 Recommendations for Further Research ............................................................................................3 1. Background......................................................................................................................................5 2. Research Approach ..........................................................................................................................7 Evaluating Deterrence ........................................................................................................................7 The Cocaine Threat and Evolution of Drug Trafficking Organizations.............................................8 3. Interviews With High-Level Cocaine Smugglers.........................................................................11 Smuggler Sample.............................................................................................................................11 Interview Results ..............................................................................................................................11 Motivation.............................................................................................................................11 Balancing Risk and Reward...................................................................................................12 Evaluating Deterrence............................................................................................................16 Organizational Structure ........................................................................................................19 Conclusions .....................................................................................................................................21 4. Analysis of Effects on Cocaine Prices & Trafficker Behavior....................................................23 Effect of Deterrent Events on Cocaine Prices ..................................................................................25 Approximating Cocaine Prices ..............................................................................................25 Methodology ..........................................................................................................................27 Effect of Deterrent Events on Cocaine Movement...........................................................................39 Characterizing Trafficker Behavior .......................................................................................39 Methodology ..........................................................................................................................41 Conclusions .....................................................................................................................................44 Limitations and Improvements ...........................................................................................

 

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