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Dynamically Vs. Empirically Downscaled Medium-range Precipitation Forecasts : Volume 13, Issue 9 (16/09/2009)

By Bürger, G.

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Book Id: WPLBN0003972676
Format Type: PDF Article :
File Size: Pages 10
Reproduction Date: 2015

Title: Dynamically Vs. Empirically Downscaled Medium-range Precipitation Forecasts : Volume 13, Issue 9 (16/09/2009)  
Author: Bürger, G.
Volume: Vol. 13, Issue 9
Language: English
Subject: Science, Hydrology, Earth
Collections: Periodicals: Journal and Magazine Collection, Copernicus GmbH
Publication Date:
Publisher: Copernicus Gmbh, Göttingen, Germany
Member Page: Copernicus Publications


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Bürger, G. (2009). Dynamically Vs. Empirically Downscaled Medium-range Precipitation Forecasts : Volume 13, Issue 9 (16/09/2009). Retrieved from

Description: Universität Potsdam, Institut für Geoökologie, Potsdam, Germany. For three small, mountainous catchments in Germany two medium-range forecast systems are compared that predict precipitation for up to 5 days in advance. One system is composed of the global German weather service (DWD) model, GME, which is dynamically downscaled using the COSMO-EU regional model. The other system is an empirical (expanded) downscaling of the ECMWF model IFS. Forecasts are verified against multi-year daily observations, by applying standard skill scores to events of specified intensity. All event classes are skillfully predicted by the empirical system for up to five days lead time. For the available prediction range of one to two days it is superior to the dynamical system.

Dynamically vs. empirically downscaled medium-range precipitation forecasts

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