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An Integrated Simulation Method for Flash-flood Risk Assessment: 2. Effects of Changes in Land-use Under a Historical Perspective : Volume 6, Issue 2 (30/11/-0001)

By Rosso, R.

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Book Id: WPLBN0003974470
Format Type: PDF Article :
File Size: Pages 10
Reproduction Date: 2015

Title: An Integrated Simulation Method for Flash-flood Risk Assessment: 2. Effects of Changes in Land-use Under a Historical Perspective : Volume 6, Issue 2 (30/11/-0001)  
Author: Rosso, R.
Volume: Vol. 6, Issue 2
Language: English
Subject: Science, Hydrology, Earth
Collections: Periodicals: Journal and Magazine Collection, Copernicus GmbH
Historic
Publication Date:
-0001
Publisher: Copernicus Gmbh, Göttingen, Germany
Member Page: Copernicus Publications

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Rosso, R., & Rulli, M. (-0001). An Integrated Simulation Method for Flash-flood Risk Assessment: 2. Effects of Changes in Land-use Under a Historical Perspective : Volume 6, Issue 2 (30/11/-0001). Retrieved from http://hawaiilibrary.net/


Description
Description: Dipartimento di Ingegneria Idraulica, Ambientale, Infrastrutture Viarie e Rilevamento, Politecnico di Milano, Piazza L. da Vinci, 32 I-20133 Milano, Italy. The influence of land use changes on flood occurrence and severity in the Bisagno River (Thyrrenian Liguria, N.W. Italy is investigated using a Monte Carlo simulation approach (Rulli and Rosso, 2002). High resolution land-use maps for the area were reconstructed and scenario simulations were made for a pre-industrial (1878), an intermediate (1930) and a current (1980) year. Land-use effects were explored to assess the consequences of distributed changes in land use due to agricultural practice and urbanisation. Hydraulic conveyance effects were considered, to assess the consequences of channel modifications associated with engineering works in the lower Bisagno River network. Flood frequency analyses of the annual flood series, retrieved from the simulations, were used to examine the effect of land-use change and river conveyance on flood regime. The impact of these effects proved to be negligible in the upper Bisagno River, moderate in the downstream river and severe in the small tributaries in the lower Bisagno valley that drain densely populated urban areas. The simulation approach is shown to be capable of incorporating historical data on landscape and river patterns into quantitative methods for risk assessment.

Keywords: flood, simulation, distributed model, land-use changes, channel modifications, historical data

Summary
An integrated simulation method for flash-flood risk assessment: 2. Effects of changes in land-use under a historical perspective

 

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