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Variable Predictability in Deterministic Dissipative Sandpile : Volume 17, Issue 1 (24/02/2010)

By Shnirman, M. G.

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Book Id: WPLBN0003978808
Format Type: PDF Article :
File Size: Pages 7
Reproduction Date: 2015

Title: Variable Predictability in Deterministic Dissipative Sandpile : Volume 17, Issue 1 (24/02/2010)  
Author: Shnirman, M. G.
Volume: Vol. 17, Issue 1
Language: English
Subject: Science, Nonlinear, Processes
Collections: Periodicals: Journal and Magazine Collection, Copernicus GmbH
Historic
Publication Date:
2010
Publisher: Copernicus Gmbh, Göttingen, Germany
Member Page: Copernicus Publications

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Shnirman, M. G., & Shapoval, A. B. (2010). Variable Predictability in Deterministic Dissipative Sandpile : Volume 17, Issue 1 (24/02/2010). Retrieved from http://hawaiilibrary.net/


Description
Description: Institut de Physique du Globe de Paris, UMR 7154, CNRS, France. It is known that some quiescence precedes the strong events in the Bak–Tang–Wiesenfeld sand-pile (Pepke and Carlson, 1994) We introduce dissipation depending on the propagation of the events into this model such that in the constructed model the growth of activity occurs before the strong events. This fact allows the prediction of them in advance with a certain efficiency. This efficiency is variable in time. The best predictability is observed during subcritical time ranges, while the efficiency is definitely worse in the supercritical state.

Summary
Variable predictability in deterministic dissipative sandpile

Excerpt
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