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Extreme Events: Dynamics, Statistics and Prediction : Volume 18, Issue 3 (18/05/2011)

By Ghil, M.

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Book Id: WPLBN0003983700
Format Type: PDF Article :
File Size: Pages 56
Reproduction Date: 2015

Title: Extreme Events: Dynamics, Statistics and Prediction : Volume 18, Issue 3 (18/05/2011)  
Author: Ghil, M.
Volume: Vol. 18, Issue 3
Language: English
Subject: Science, Nonlinear, Processes
Collections: Periodicals: Journal and Magazine Collection (Contemporary), Copernicus GmbH
Historic
Publication Date:
2011
Publisher: Copernicus Gmbh, Göttingen, Germany
Member Page: Copernicus Publications

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Zaliapin, I., Ghil, M., Kondrashov, D., Naveau, P., Friederichs, P., Kossobokov, V.,...Mestre, O. (2011). Extreme Events: Dynamics, Statistics and Prediction : Volume 18, Issue 3 (18/05/2011). Retrieved from http://hawaiilibrary.net/


Description
Description: Environmental Research and Teaching Institute (CERES-ERTI), Geosciences Department and Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique (CNRS and IPSL), UMR8539, CNRS-Ecole Normale Supérieure, 75231 Paris Cedex 05, France. We review work on extreme events, their causes and consequences, by a group of European and American researchers involved in a three-year project on these topics. The review covers theoretical aspects of time series analysis and of extreme value theory, as well as of the deterministic modeling of extreme events, via continuous and discrete dynamic models. The applications include climatic, seismic and socio-economic events, along with their prediction.

Two important results refer to (i) the complementarity of spectral analysis of a time series in terms of the continuous and the discrete part of its power spectrum; and (ii) the need for coupled modeling of natural and socio-economic systems. Both these results have implications for the study and prediction of natural hazards and their human impacts.


Summary
Extreme events: dynamics, statistics and prediction

Excerpt
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