World Library  


Add to Book Shelf
Flag as Inappropriate
Email this Book

Robust Global Sensitivity Analysis of a River Management Model : Volume 11, Issue 3 (25/03/2014)

By Peeters, L. J. M.

Click here to view

Book Id: WPLBN0004012061
Format Type: PDF Article :
File Size: Pages 23
Reproduction Date: 2015

Title: Robust Global Sensitivity Analysis of a River Management Model : Volume 11, Issue 3 (25/03/2014)  
Author: Peeters, L. J. M.
Volume: Vol. 11, Issue 3
Language: English
Subject: Science, Hydrology, Earth
Collections: Periodicals: Journal and Magazine Collection, Copernicus GmbH
Historic
Publication Date:
2014
Publisher: Copernicus Gmbh, Göttingen, Germany
Member Page: Copernicus Publications

Citation

APA MLA Chicago

Smith, T., Podger, G. M., Pickett, T., Cuddy, S. M., M. Peeter, L. J., & Bark, R. (2014). Robust Global Sensitivity Analysis of a River Management Model : Volume 11, Issue 3 (25/03/2014). Retrieved from http://hawaiilibrary.net/


Description
Description: CSIRO Land and Water, Water for a Healthy Country Flagship, Adelaide, Australia. The simulation of routing and distribution of water through a regulated river system with a river management model will quickly results in complex and non-linear model behaviour. A robust sensitivity analysis increases the transparency of the model and provide both the modeller and the system manager with better understanding and insight on how the model simulates reality and management operations.

In this study, a robust, density-based sensitivity analysis, developed by Plischke et al. (2013), is applied to an eWater Source river management model. The sensitivity analysis is extended to not only account for main but also for interaction effects and is able to identify major linear effects as well as subtle minor and non-linear effects.

The case study is an idealised river management model representing typical conditions of the Southern Murray–Darling Basin in Australia for which the sensitivity of a variety of model outcomes to variations in the driving forces, inflow to the system, rainfall and potential evapotranspiration, is examined. The model outcomes are most sensitive to the inflow to the system, but the sensitivity analysis identified minor effects of potential evapotranspiration as well as non-linear interaction effects between inflow and potential evapotranspiration.


Summary
Robust global sensitivity analysis of a river management model

Excerpt
Bark, R., Peeters, L., Lester, R., Pollino, C., Crossman, N., and Kandulu, J.: Understanding the sources of uncertainty to reduce the risks of undesirable outcomes in large-scale freshwater ecosystem restoration projects: an example from the Murray–Darling Basin, Australia, Environ. Sci. Policy, 33, 97–108, doi:10.1016/j.envsci.2013.04.010, 2013.; Borgonovo, E., Castaings, W., and Tarantola, S.: Moment independent importance measures: new results and analytical test cases, Risk Anal., 31, 404–428, 2011.; Borgonovo, E.: A new uncertainty importance measure, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Safe., 92, 771–784, doi:10.1016/j.ress.2006.04.015, 2007.; Campolongo, F., Cariboni, J., and Saltelli, A.: An effective screening design for sensitivity analysis of large models, Environ. Modell. Softw., 22, 1509–1518, 2007.; Castaings, W., Dartus, D., Le Dimet, F.-X., and Saulnier, G.-M.: Sensitivity analysis and parameter estimation for distributed hydrological modeling: potential of variational methods, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 13, 503–517, doi:10.5194/hess-13-503-2009, 2009.; Crase, L. and Gillespie, R.: The impact of water quality and water level on the recreation values of Lake Hume, Australas. J. Environ., 15, 21–29, 2008.; Doherty, J. and Hunt, R. J.: Two statistics for evaluating parameter identifiability and error reduction, J. Hydrol., 366, 119–127, 2009.; DRET: Destination Visitor Survey: Strategic Regional Research Report – New South Wales, Victoria and South Australia, Impact of the drought on tourism in the Murray River Region., Tech. rep., Department of Resources, Energy and Tourism, Tourism Research Australia, Canberra, 57 pp., 2010.; Dutta, D., Hughes, J., Vaze, J., Kim, S., Yang, A., and Podger, G.: A daily river system model for the Murray–Darling Basin: development, testing and implementation, in: 34th Hydrology and Water Resources Symposium 2012, Sydney, 19–22 November 2012, 1057–1066, available at: http://www.hwrs2012.org.au/, last access: 13 March 2014, 2012.; Foglia, L., Hill, M. C., Mehl, S. W., and Burlando, P.: Sensitivity analysis, calibration, and testing of a distributed hydrological model using error-based weighting and one objective function, Water Resour. Res., 45, W06427, doi:10.1029/2008WR007255, 2009.; Plischke, E., Borgonovo, E., and Smith, C. L.: Global sensitivity measures from given data, Eur. J. Oper. Res., 226, 536–550, 2013.; Saltelli, A. and Annoni, P.: How to avoid a perfunctory sensitivity analysis, Environ. Modell. Softw., 25, 1508–1517, 2010.; Gupta, H. V., Clark, M. P., Vrugt, J. A., Abramowitz, G., and Ye, M.: Towards a comprehensive assessment of model structural adequacy, Water Resour. Res., 48, W08301, doi:10.1029/2011WR011044, 2012.; Hill, M. C. and Tiedeman, C. R.: Effective Groundwater Model Calibration, Wiley, Hoboken, New Jersey, 2007.; Janssen, V.: Indirect tracking of drop bears using GNSS technology, Aust. Geogr., 43, 445–452, doi:10.1080/00049182.2012.731307, 2012.; Micevski, T., Lerat, J., Kavetski, D., Thyer, M., and Kuczera, G.: Exploring the utility of multi-response calibration in river system modelling, in: 19th International Congress On Modelling and Simulation (modsim2011), December 2011, Perth, 3889–3895, 2011.; Morrison, M. and Hatton MacDonald, D.: Economic Valuation of Environmental Benefits in the Murray–Darling Basin, Tech. rep., A Report to the Murray–Darling Basin Authority, Murray-Darling Basin Authority (MDBA), Canberra, Australia, 2010.; Nossent, J., Elsen, P., and Bauwens, W.: Sobol' sensitivity analysis of a complex environm

 

Click To View

Additional Books


  • Weather Model Performance on Extreme Rai... (by )
  • Exploring the Physical Controls of Regio... (by )
  • Hess Opinions Climate, Hydrology, Energy... (by )
  • Attribution of Satellite-observed Vegeta... (by )
  • Spatial-temporal Rainfall Fields: Modell... (by )
  • A New Method to Measure Bowen Ratios Usi... (by )
  • Technical Note: Towards a Continuous Cla... (by )
  • Reply to J. Vrugt's Comment on How Effec... (by )
  • Skewness as Measure of the Invariance of... (by )
  • Explicit Simulations of Stream Networks ... (by )
  • Salt Intrusion in the Pungue Estuary, Mo... (by )
  • Global Meteorological Drought – Part 1: ... (by )
Scroll Left
Scroll Right

 



Copyright © World Library Foundation. All rights reserved. eBooks from Hawaii eBook Library are sponsored by the World Library Foundation,
a 501c(4) Member's Support Non-Profit Organization, and is NOT affiliated with any governmental agency or department.