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Long Range Predictability of Atmospheric Flows : Volume 8, Issue 1/2 (30/11/-0001)

By Robert, R.

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Book Id: WPLBN0004020001
Format Type: PDF Article :
File Size: Pages 13
Reproduction Date: 2015

Title: Long Range Predictability of Atmospheric Flows : Volume 8, Issue 1/2 (30/11/-0001)  
Author: Robert, R.
Volume: Vol. 8, Issue 1/2
Language: English
Subject: Science, Nonlinear, Processes
Collections: Periodicals: Journal and Magazine Collection (Contemporary), Copernicus GmbH
Publication Date:
Publisher: Copernicus Gmbh, Göttingen, Germany
Member Page: Copernicus Publications


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Rosier, C., & Robert, R. (-0001). Long Range Predictability of Atmospheric Flows : Volume 8, Issue 1/2 (30/11/-0001). Retrieved from

Description: CNRS UMR 5582, Institut Fourier, 100 Rue des mathématiques, BP 74, 38402 Saint Martin d’Hères Cedex, France. In the light of recent advances in 2D turbulence, we investigate the long range predictability problem of atmospheric flows. Using 2D Euler equations, we show that the full nonlinearity acting on a large number of degrees of freedom can, paradoxically, improve the predictability of the large scale motion, giving a picture opposite to the one largely popularized by Lorenz: a small local perturbation of the atmosphere will progressively gain larger and larger scales by nonlinear interaction and will finally cause large scale change in the atmospheric flow.

Long range predictability of atmospheric flows


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